UD Ourense travel to Estadio As Eiroas in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 26 April (11:00 WAT) to face Bergantiños.
Form guide
Bergantiños's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Real Valladolid II 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
UD Ourense's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo La Coruña II 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Bergantiños and 1.1 for UD Ourense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bergantiños 38%, draw 27%, UD Ourense 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bergantiños 1–1 UD Ourense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bergantiños38%fair 2.65 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.70
UD Ourense35%fair 2.84 · @2.70
2.19Expected goals
1.12Bergantiños xG
1.07UD Ourense xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bergantiños 1.1 – 1.1 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bergantiños to win✗
38%
2.65
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños✗
21%
4.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.98
–
Form
Bergantiños – last 6
WLDWLD
5 Apr
@ Real Valladolid II
4–3
W
29 Mar
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Salamanca UDS
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lealtad
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Burgos Promesas
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
LWDWLW
12 Apr
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Marino de Luanco
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Sámano
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Langreo
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Real Oviedo II
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bergantiños and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Bergantiños vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Bergantiños have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and UD Ourense 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Bergantiños 1–1 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bergantiños vs UD Ourense?
Bergantiños vs UD Ourense (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio As Eiroas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sarriana0
Burgos Promesas2
Salamanca UDS1
Deportivo La Coruña II0
Real Valladolid II1
Gimnástica Segoviana1
Langreo1
Numancia1
Lealtad2
Sámano1
Real Ávila1