Value bet: Sarriana to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Astorga to win ✓37% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.45
Atlético Astorga vs Sarriana preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Astorga host Sarriana in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Eragudina.
Form guide
Atlético Astorga's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Racing Santander II 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sarriana's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Numancia 2–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Atlético Astorga and 1.2 for Sarriana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Astorga 37%, draw 25%, Sarriana 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Sarriana to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Atlético Astorga 1–1 Sarriana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Astorga37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Sarriana37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
2.45Expected goals
1.23Atlético Astorga xG
1.22Sarriana xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atlético Astorga 1.2 – 1.2 Sarriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Astorga to win✓
37%
2.68
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Astorga / FT Atlético Astorga✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.45
–
Form
Atlético Astorga – last 3
LLW
12 Apr
@ Racing Santander II
2–3
L
29 Mar
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Numancia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sarriana – last 5
DWWLL
29 Mar
@ Numancia
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs UD Ourense
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Coruxo
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Astorga and Sarriana.
What is the prediction for Atlético Astorga vs Sarriana?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atlético Astorga vs Sarriana?
On our numbers Atlético Astorga have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sarriana 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Astorga vs Sarriana?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Astorga vs Sarriana?
Our predicted score is Atlético Astorga 1–1 Sarriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atlético Astorga vs Sarriana?
Atlético Astorga vs Sarriana (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Eragudina.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
UD Ourense3
Burgos Promesas2
Salamanca UDS1
Deportivo La Coruña II0
Real Valladolid II1
Gimnástica Segoviana1
Langreo1
Numancia1
Lealtad2
Sámano1
Real Ávila1