Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoruxo to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceCoruxo or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Lealtad vs Coruxo preview and prediction
The match
Lealtad host Coruxo in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Las Callejas.
Form guide
Lealtad's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Burgos Promesas 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Coruxo's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Marino de Luanco 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Coruxo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Lealtad and 1.7 for Coruxo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lealtad 17%, draw 20%, Coruxo 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Coruxo to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lealtad 0–1 Coruxo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lealtad17%fair 6.00 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.00
Coruxo63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
2.39Expected goals
0.70Lealtad xG
1.69Coruxo xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–09%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Lealtad 0.7 – 1.7 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coruxo to win✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Coruxo or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coruxo / FT Coruxo✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.44
–
Form
Lealtad – last 6
LLLWLL
29 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Bergantiños
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Racing Santander II
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Coruxo – last 6
LWDLWL
5 Apr
vs Marino de Luanco
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Bergantiños
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Numancia
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Langreo
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Sarriana
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Real Valladolid II
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lealtad and Coruxo.
Our pick is Coruxo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lealtad vs Coruxo?
On our numbers Lealtad have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Coruxo 63%.
How many goals will there be in Lealtad vs Coruxo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lealtad vs Coruxo?
Our predicted score is Lealtad 0–1 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lealtad vs Coruxo?
Lealtad vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Callejas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sarriana0
UD Ourense3
Burgos Promesas2
Salamanca UDS1
Deportivo La Coruña II0
Real Valladolid II1
Gimnástica Segoviana1
Langreo1
Numancia1
Sámano1
Real Ávila1