The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Langreo take on Numancia on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal.
Form guide
Langreo's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Real Valladolid II 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Numancia's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Sámano 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Langreo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Langreo and 1.2 for Numancia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Langreo 32%, draw 24%, Numancia 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Langreo 1–1 Numancia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Langreo32%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Numancia44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
2.23Expected goals
1.00Langreo xG
1.23Numancia xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Langreo 1.0 – 1.2 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win✗
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Langreo – last 4
LWWW
19 Apr
@ Real Valladolid II
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Real Ávila
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs UD Ourense
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Coruxo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Numancia – last 6
WDDLWL
19 Apr
@ Sámano
3–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sarriana
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Atlético Astorga
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Langreo and Numancia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Langreo vs Numancia?
On our numbers Langreo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Numancia 44%.
How many goals will there be in Langreo vs Numancia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Langreo vs Numancia?
Our predicted score is Langreo 1–1 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Langreo vs Numancia?
Langreo vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlético Astorga1
Sarriana0
Bergantiños1
UD Ourense3
Burgos Promesas2
Salamanca UDS1
Deportivo La Coruña II0
Real Valladolid II1
Gimnástica Segoviana1
Real Oviedo II0
Lealtad2
Coruxo2
Marino de Luanco4
Sámano1
Racing Santander II4
Real Ávila1