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Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos

Numancia

DDLWL
Sun 12 Apr 2026

Real Ávila

LWWL

Numancia vs Real Ávila prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Numancia or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Numancia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultNumancia to win56% · @1.95
Double chanceNumancia or draw79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.40

Numancia vs Real Ávila preview and prediction

The match

Real Ávila travel to Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 12 April (16:00 WAT) to face Numancia.

Form guide

Numancia's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Sarriana 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Real Ávila's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Langreo 1–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Numancia and 0.9 for Real Ávila. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Numancia or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Numancia 1–0 Real Ávila. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Numancia56%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Real Ávila21%fair 4.81 · @3.30
2.49Expected goals
1.63Numancia xG
0.86Real Ávila xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Numancia 1.6 – 0.9 Real Ávila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNumancia to win56%1.771.95 ▲
Double chanceNumancia or draw79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.84–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.801.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.32–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Numancia / FT Numancia34%2.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014%7.40–

Form

Numancia – last 6

DDLWLW
29 Marvs Sarriana2–2D
22 Mar@ Coruxo1–1D
15 Marvs Atlético Astorga0–1L
1 Marvs Burgos Promesas2–0W
22 Feb@ Deportivo La Coruña II1–2L
15 Febvs UD Ourense2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Ávila – last 4

LWWL
5 Aprvs Langreo1–2L
15 Mar@ Real Oviedo II2–0W
21 Feb@ Burgos Promesas2–1W
15 Febvs Salamanca UDS1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Real Ávila.

Numancia vs Real Ávila head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Deportivo La Coruña II3 UD Ourense0 165%1.68X23%3.30211%4.50 1Deportivo La Coruña II to win 65%@1.68 ✓
FT Racing Santander II3 Atlético Astorga2 164%1.60X19%3.65217%4.60 1Racing Santander II to win 64%@1.60 ✓
– Burgos Promesas Coruxo 123%4.00X21%3.00257%1.85 GGBoth teams to score 56%@2.00
– Langreo Sámano 174%1.11X16%7.00211%41.00 NGNot both teams to score 56%@1.25
– Marino de Luanco Real Oviedo II 139%2.62X26%2.75235%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10
– Gimnástica Segoviana Salamanca UDS 144%2.15X24%2.80232%3.40 GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.15
– Lealtad Real Valladolid II 134%2.75X26%2.90240%2.45 GGBoth teams to score 61%@1.75
– Bergantiños Sarriana 161%1.75X21%3.40218%4.00 1XBergantiños or draw 82%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Numancia vs Real Ávila?

Our pick is Numancia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Numancia vs Real Ávila?

On our numbers Numancia have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Real Ávila 21%.

How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Real Ávila?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Numancia vs Real Ávila?

Our predicted score is Numancia 1–0 Real Ávila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Numancia vs Real Ávila?

Numancia vs Real Ávila (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.