Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 12 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMarino de Luanco to win39% · @2.62

Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @2.10

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · fair 1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.21

Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II preview and prediction

The match

Marino de Luanco host Real Oviedo II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar. Marino de Luanco are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Real Oviedo II sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Marino de Luanco's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Coruxo 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Real Oviedo II's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Racing Santander II 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Marino de Luanco and 1.0 for Real Oviedo II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: Marino de Luanco 39%, draw 26%, Real Oviedo II 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Real Oviedo II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Marino de Luanco39%fair 2.55 · @2.62

Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.75

Real Oviedo II35%fair 2.87 · @2.62

2.03Expected goals

1.06Marino de Luanco xG

0.97Real Oviedo II xG

50%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%

1–114%

0–013%

0–113%

2–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.1 – 1.0 Real Oviedo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Marino de Luanco to win	39%	2.55	2.62
Double chance	Either team to win	74%	1.35	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	50%	1.99	2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	85%	1.17	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	50%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw	21%	4.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	14%	7.21	–

Form

Marino de Luanco – last 6

WDDLDD

5 Apr	@ Coruxo	2–1	W
29 Mar	vs UD Ourense	0–0	D
15 Mar	vs Burgos Promesas	0–0	D
4 Mar	@ Gimnástica Segoviana	2–3	L
22 Feb	@ Salamanca UDS	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Real Oviedo II – last 6

LDLLWW

29 Mar	@ Racing Santander II	0–1	L
22 Mar	@ Real Valladolid II	2–2	D
15 Mar	vs Real Ávila	0–2	L
8 Mar	@ UD Ourense	0–3	L
1 Mar	vs Salamanca UDS	5–2	W
22 Feb	@ Lealtad	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Real Oviedo II 35%.

How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Real Oviedo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Marino de Luanco vs Real Oviedo II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Municipal de Miramar.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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