Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 12 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultCoruxo to win57% · @1.85

Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @2.00

GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.16

Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo preview and prediction

The match

Coruxo travel to Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 12 April (16:00 WAT) to face Burgos Promesas.

Form guide

Burgos Promesas's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Deportivo La Coruña II 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Coruxo's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Marino de Luanco 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Burgos Promesas and 1.7 for Coruxo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Burgos Promesas 23%, draw 21%, Coruxo 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.78, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Burgos Promesas 1–1 Coruxo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Burgos Promesas23%fair 4.40 · @4.00

Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.00

Coruxo57%fair 1.76 · @1.85

2.62Expected goals

0.94Burgos Promesas xG

1.68Coruxo xG

56%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–112%

1–111%

0–210%

1–210%

0–07%

1–07%

From our goals model: Burgos Promesas 0.9 – 1.7 Coruxo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Coruxo to win	57%	1.76	1.85
Double chance	Either team to win	79%	1.26	1.33 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	56%	1.78	2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	73%	1.37	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	42%	2.38	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Coruxo / FT Coruxo	34%	2.97	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1	12%	8.16	–

Form

Burgos Promesas – last 6

LWDWLL

5 Apr	vs Deportivo La Coruña II	1–4	L
29 Mar	@ Lealtad	2–0	W
15 Mar	@ Marino de Luanco	0–0	D
8 Mar	vs Bergantiños	1–0	W
1 Mar	@ Numancia	0–2	L
21 Feb	vs Real Ávila	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Coruxo – last 6

LWDLWL

5 Apr	vs Marino de Luanco	1–2	L
29 Mar	@ Bergantiños	1–0	W
22 Mar	vs Numancia	1–1	D
8 Mar	vs Langreo	1–2	L
22 Feb	vs Sarriana	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs Real Valladolid II	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sestao River	10	8	1	1	+10	25
2	Eibar II	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Deportivo Alavés II	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Bergantiños	10	5	3	2	+8	18
5	Compostela	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Portugalete	10	4	4	2	+3	16
7	Amorebieta	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Real Oviedo II	10	4	3	3	-3	15
9	Basconia	10	3	5	2	0	14
10	Ourense CF	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Gernika	10	2	6	2	+6	12
12	Racing Santander II	10	3	2	5	-4	11
13	Llanera	10	3	1	6	-8	10
14	Coruxo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Arosa	10	1	5	4	-6	8
16	Marino de Luanco	10	2	2	6	-6	8
17	Atlético Astorga	10	2	1	7	-6	7
18	Gimnástica Torrelavega	10	1	3	6	-12	6

Team

Pts

+10

+10

-3

-3

-4

-8

-4

-6

-6

-6

Gimnástica Torrelavega

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

On our numbers Burgos Promesas have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Coruxo 57%.

How many goals will there be in Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

Our predicted score is Burgos Promesas 1–1 Coruxo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo?

Burgos Promesas vs Coruxo (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Burgos Promesas