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Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo

Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Deportivo La Coruña II to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.68Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceDeportivo La Coruña II or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95

Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense preview and prediction

The match

Deportivo La Coruña II host UD Ourense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.

Form guide

Deportivo La Coruña II's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Burgos Promesas 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

UD Ourense's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Gimnástica Segoviana 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Deportivo La Coruña II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Deportivo La Coruña II and 0.6 for UD Ourense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 42%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Deportivo La Coruña II to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo La Coruña II 1–0 UD Ourense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo La Coruña II65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
UD Ourense11%fair 8.88 · @4.50
2.35Expected goals
1.77Deportivo La Coruña II xG
0.59UD Ourense xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
3–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruña II 1.8 – 0.6 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓65%1.531.68 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo La Coruña II or draw ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Half-time resultDeportivo La Coruña II ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo La Coruña II / FT Deportivo La Coruña II ✓42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.95–

Form

Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6

WWWDWD
5 Apr@ Burgos Promesas4–1W
29 Marvs Atlético Astorga3–0W
22 Marvs Lealtad3–1W
1 Mar@ Bergantiños2–2D
22 Febvs Numancia2–1W
15 Feb@ Marino de Luanco0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

UD Ourense – last 6

WDWLWL
5 Aprvs Gimnástica Segoviana1–0W
29 Mar@ Marino de Luanco0–0D
22 Marvs Sámano3–1W
15 Mar@ Langreo0–1L
8 Marvs Real Oviedo II3–0W
1 Mar@ Sarriana1–3L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruña II and UD Ourense.

Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

Our pick is Deportivo La Coruña II to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.

Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

On our numbers Deportivo La Coruña II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UD Ourense 11%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruña II 1–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?

Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.