Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo La Coruña II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo La Coruña II to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceDeportivo La Coruña II or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.95
Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Coruña II host UD Ourense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.
Form guide
Deportivo La Coruña II's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Burgos Promesas 4–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
UD Ourense's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Gimnástica Segoviana 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo La Coruña II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Deportivo La Coruña II and 0.6 for UD Ourense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 42%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Coruña II 65%, draw 23%, UD Ourense 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo La Coruña II to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo La Coruña II 1–0 UD Ourense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Coruña II65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.30
UD Ourense11%fair 8.88 · @4.50
2.35Expected goals
1.77Deportivo La Coruña II xG
0.59UD Ourense xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Coruña II 1.8 – 0.6 UD Ourense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo La Coruña II to win✓
65%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo La Coruña II or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Deportivo La Coruña II ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo La Coruña II / FT Deportivo La Coruña II✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.95
–
Form
Deportivo La Coruña II – last 6
WWWDWD
5 Apr
@ Burgos Promesas
4–1
W
29 Mar
vs Atlético Astorga
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Lealtad
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Bergantiños
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Numancia
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Marino de Luanco
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
UD Ourense – last 6
WDWLWL
5 Apr
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Marino de Luanco
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Sámano
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Langreo
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Real Oviedo II
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Sarriana
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Coruña II and UD Ourense.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?
Our pick is Deportivo La Coruña II to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?
On our numbers Deportivo La Coruña II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UD Ourense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Coruña II 1–0 UD Ourense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense?
Deportivo La Coruña II vs UD Ourense (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad Deportiva de Abegondo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.