Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Bergantiños to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBergantiños to win61% · @1.75
Double chanceBergantiños or draw82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.53
Bergantiños vs Sarriana preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 1 sees Bergantiños take on Sarriana on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Estadio As Eiroas.
Form guide
Bergantiños's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Real Valladolid II 4–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sarriana's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Numancia 2–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Bergantiños and 0.7 for Sarriana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Bergantiños to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bergantiños or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bergantiños 1–0 Sarriana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bergantiños61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Sarriana18%fair 5.42 · @4.00
2.37Expected goals
1.64Bergantiños xG
0.73Sarriana xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Bergantiños 1.6 – 0.7 Sarriana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bergantiños to win
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Bergantiños or draw
82%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bergantiños / FT Bergantiños
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.53
–
Form
Bergantiños – last 6
WLDWLD
5 Apr
@ Real Valladolid II
4–3
W
29 Mar
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Salamanca UDS
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lealtad
3–0
W
8 Mar
@ Burgos Promesas
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sarriana – last 5
DWWLL
29 Mar
@ Numancia
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs UD Ourense
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Coruxo
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bergantiños and Sarriana.
What is the prediction for Bergantiños vs Sarriana?
Our pick is Bergantiños or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bergantiños vs Sarriana?
On our numbers Bergantiños have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarriana 18%.
How many goals will there be in Bergantiños vs Sarriana?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bergantiños vs Sarriana?
Our predicted score is Bergantiños 1–0 Sarriana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bergantiños vs Sarriana?
Bergantiños vs Sarriana (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio As Eiroas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo La Coruña II3
UD Ourense0
Burgos Promesas
Langreo
Sámano
Numancia
Real Ávila
Gimnástica Segoviana
Salamanca UDS
Lealtad
Real Valladolid II