Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓66% · @1.77
Double chanceVillarreal II or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.21
Villarreal II vs Hércules preview and prediction
The match
Hércules travel to Estadio de la Ceramica in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 3 May (11:00 WAT) to face Villarreal II. Villarreal II are 2nd with 22 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Hércules sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Villarreal II's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Alcorcon 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Hércules's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Cacahuatique 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villarreal II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Villarreal II and 0.6 for Hércules. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villarreal II 66%, draw 22%, Hércules 12%.
Safer route: Villarreal II or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villarreal II to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Villarreal II 1–0 Hércules. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villarreal II66%fair 1.52 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.40
Hércules12%fair 8.25 · @4.10
2.41Expected goals
1.80Villarreal II xG
0.61Hércules xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.8 – 0.6 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✓
66%
1.52
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Villarreal II or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Villarreal II ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.21
–
Form
Villarreal II – last 6
WWDLWW
19 Apr
@ Alcorcon
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Algeciras
4–0
W
29 Mar
vs Sabadell
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Teruel
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
LLWLWD
9 Apr
vs Cacahuatique
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Alcorcon
0–4
L
29 Mar
vs Marbella
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Real Betis II
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Real Murcia
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and Hércules.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs Hércules?
Our pick is Villarreal II to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Hércules?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hércules 12%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs Hércules?
Villarreal II vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.