Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.48
Sabadell vs Real Murcia preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Sabadell take on Real Murcia on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Form guide
Sabadell's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Real Betis II 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Murcia's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Europa Fc 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Real Murcia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Sabadell and 0.6 for Real Murcia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sabadell 62%, draw 21%, Real Murcia 17%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sabadell to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sabadell 1–0 Real Murcia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sabadell62%fair 1.60 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Real Murcia17%fair 6.04 · @4.75
2.13Expected goals
1.53Sabadell xG
0.60Real Murcia xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sabadell 1.5 – 0.6 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabadell to win
62%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Sabadell or draw
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabadell / FT Sabadell
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.48
–
Form
Sabadell – last 6
LDDDWL
5 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–3
L
29 Mar
@ Villarreal II
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Gimnastic
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ FC Cartagena
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Sanluqueño
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ibiza
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Murcia – last 6
WLWWLD
26 Apr
@ Europa Fc
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Antequera
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Marbella
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Real Murcia.
What is the prediction for Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
Our pick is Sabadell to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Murcia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 1–0 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Real Murcia?
Sabadell vs Real Murcia (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarazona0
Sanluqueño
Eldense
Marbella