Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTeruel to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Teruel vs Tarazona preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División RFEF Group 2 sees Teruel take on Tarazona on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Pinilla.
Form guide
Teruel's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Atlético Madrid II 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tarazona's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Eldense 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Teruel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Teruel and 0.9 for Tarazona. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Teruel 40%, draw 25%, Tarazona 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Teruel 1–0 Tarazona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Teruel40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Tarazona34%fair 2.92 · @3.10
1.90Expected goals
1.01Teruel xG
0.89Tarazona xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Teruel 1.0 – 0.9 Tarazona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Teruel to win✗
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.65
–
Form
Teruel – last 6
DWDDWW
19 Apr
vs Atlético Madrid II
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Villarreal II
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Tarazona – last 5
LLDLW
29 Mar
vs Eldense
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Cartagena
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Ibiza
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Tarazona.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Teruel vs Tarazona?
On our numbers Teruel have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tarazona 34%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Tarazona?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Tarazona?
Our predicted score is Teruel 1–0 Tarazona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Tarazona?
Teruel vs Tarazona (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanluqueño
Sabadell
Eldense
Marbella