Value bet: Atlético Madrid II to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Madrid II to win ✗47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.77
Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Madrid II travel to Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 3 May (11:00 WAT) to face Juventud Torremolinos. Juventud Torremolinos are 18th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Atlético Madrid II sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Juventud Torremolinos's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Real Betis II 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Atlético Madrid II's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Real Betis II 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Atlético Madrid II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Juventud Torremolinos and 1.4 for Atlético Madrid II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventud Torremolinos 31%, draw 22%, Atlético Madrid II 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Atlético Madrid II to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Atlético Madrid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventud Torremolinos31%fair 3.25 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Atlético Madrid II47%fair 2.13 · @2.45
2.53Expected goals
1.10Juventud Torremolinos xG
1.44Atlético Madrid II xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Juventud Torremolinos 1.1 – 1.4 Atlético Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Madrid II to win✗
47%
2.13
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Madrid II / FT Atlético Madrid II✗
26%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.77
–
Form
Juventud Torremolinos – last 6
LLWWDD
19 Apr
vs Real Betis II
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alcorcon
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–2
W
25 Feb
vs Teruel
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Hércules
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlético Madrid II – last 6
WDWLWD
24 Apr
vs Real Betis II
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Teruel
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Marbella
5–4
W
5 Apr
@ Real Murcia
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Tarazona
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs Hércules
0–0
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Torremolinos and Atlético Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
On our numbers Juventud Torremolinos have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlético Madrid II 47%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Atlético Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II?
Juventud Torremolinos vs Atlético Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarazona0
Sanluqueño
Sabadell
Eldense
Marbella