Eldense host Marbella in the Primera División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Form guide
Eldense's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Europa Fc 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Marbella's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Gimnastic 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Eldense and 0.7 for Marbella. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eldense 63%, draw 20%, Marbella 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Eldense 1–0 Marbella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eldense63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.10
Marbella17%fair 5.77 · @7.00
2.48Expected goals
1.74Eldense xG
0.74Marbella xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Eldense 1.7 – 0.7 Marbella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eldense to win
63%
1.58
1.40
Double chance
Eldense or draw
83%
1.21
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Eldense ahead at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eldense / FT Eldense
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.87
–
Form
Eldense – last 5
WWWLD
3 Apr
vs Europa Fc
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Tarazona
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Ibiza
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Villarreal II
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Alcorcon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Marbella – last 6
WLLWWD
19 Apr
vs Gimnastic
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
4–5
L
29 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eldense and Marbella.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Eldense vs Marbella?
On our numbers Eldense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Marbella 17%.
How many goals will there be in Eldense vs Marbella?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eldense vs Marbella?
Our predicted score is Eldense 1–0 Marbella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Eldense vs Marbella?
Eldense vs Marbella (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Teruel0
Tarazona0
Juventud Torremolinos3
Atlético Madrid II1
Villarreal II1
Hércules0
Ibiza
Sanluqueño
Sabadell
Real Murcia