Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleury 91 to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceFleury 91 or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.66
Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes preview and prediction
The match
Fleury 91 host Valenciennes in the National 1 on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Robert Bobin. Fleury 91 are 12th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Valenciennes sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fleury 91's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Sochaux 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Valenciennes's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Versailles 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Fleury 91 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Fleury 91 and 0.9 for Valenciennes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Fleury 91 to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fleury 91 or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Fleury 91 1–0 Valenciennes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fleury 9157%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.30
Valenciennes19%fair 5.25 · @3.55
2.56Expected goals
1.69Fleury 91 xG
0.87Valenciennes xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fleury 91 1.7 – 0.9 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleury 91 to win✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Fleury 91 or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Fleury 91 – last 6
DWWDWW
10 Apr
@ Sochaux
2–2
D
3 Apr
vs Dijon
3–1
W
27 Mar
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ Versailles
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Quevilly
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Aubagne
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 6
WLDWWD
10 Apr
vs Versailles
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Quevilly
2–3
L
27 Mar
vs Aubagne
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Concarneau
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Villefranche
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fleury 91 and Valenciennes.
What is the prediction for Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Fleury 91 or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Fleury 91 have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Valenciennes 19%.
How many goals will there be in Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Fleury 91 1–0 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes?
Fleury 91 vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Bobin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0