Value bet: Rouen to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Concarneau vs Rouen preview and prediction
The match
Concarneau host Rouen in the National 1 on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Guy Piriou. Concarneau are 6th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Rouen sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Concarneau's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Orleans 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rouen's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Villefranche 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Concarneau and 1.4 for Rouen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Concarneau 30%, draw 22%, Rouen 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Rouen to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Concarneau 0–1 Rouen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Concarneau30%fair 3.32 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Rouen48%fair 2.10 · @2.25
2.35Expected goals
0.99Concarneau xG
1.35Rouen xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.0 – 1.4 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✗
48%
2.10
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Concarneau – last 6
DLLLLD
10 Apr
@ Orleans
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Le Puy Foot
0–3
L
27 Mar
@ Chateauroux
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Valenciennes
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Sochaux
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Dijon
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rouen – last 6
LDDWLD
3 Apr
@ Villefranche
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Caen
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Gobelins
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Stade Briochin
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Rouen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Concarneau vs Rouen?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rouen 48%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 0–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Rouen?
Concarneau vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0