National 1 · France · Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre
Versailles vs Chateauroux prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Chateauroux to win @ 3.85 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Versailles 1.4 – 1.0 Chateauroux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Versailles hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 28% for Chateauroux.
Versailles have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Chateauroux have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.4 for Versailles, 1.0 for Chateauroux). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Chateauroux to win at 3.85 is our value angle (28% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Versailles to win ✓ | 48% | 2.07 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Versailles / FT Versailles ✓ | 27% | 3.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.86 | – |
Form
Versailles – last 6
| 10 Apr | @ Valenciennes | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Apr | vs Sochaux | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Mar | @ Dijon | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Mar | vs Fleury 91 | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Mar | vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Mar | @ Quevilly | 2–2 | D |
Chateauroux – last 6
| 10 Apr | vs Quevilly | 3–5 | L |
| 3 Apr | @ Aubagne | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Concarneau | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | @ Stade Briochin | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Mar | vs Villefranche | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Mar | @ Caen | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Versailles and Chateauroux.
National 1 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 12 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 12 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 |  Caen | 12 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 |  Versailles | 12 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 |  Amiens | 12 | +11 | 20 |
| 6 |  Concarneau | 12 | +5 | 20 |
| 7 |  Cannes | 12 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 |  Le Puy Foot | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 9 |  Gobelins | 12 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Quevilly | 12 | -3 | 16 |
| 11 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 |  Fleury 91 | 12 | +2 | 16 |
| 13 |  Bastia | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Orleans | 12 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 12 | -16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 12 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 12 | -13 | 6 |
More National 1 predictions
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Dijon0
Sochaux0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Versailles vs Chateauroux?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Versailles vs Chateauroux?
On our numbers Versailles have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chateauroux 28%.
How many goals will there be in Versailles vs Chateauroux?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Versailles vs Chateauroux?
Versailles vs Chateauroux (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.