Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Caen to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaen to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Bourg-en-bresse 01 take on Caen on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Marcel-Verchere. Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Caen sit 3rd on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Dijon 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Caen's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Gobelins 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Bourg-en-bresse 01 and 1.3 for Caen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Caen to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Caen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0131%fair 3.19 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
Caen45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
2.31Expected goals
1.02Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.30Caen xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.0 – 1.3 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caen to win✓
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caen / FT Caen✓
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.79
–
Form
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
LWLLWL
10 Apr
@ Dijon
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Gobelins
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Fleury 91
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Versailles
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Rouen
3–1
W
20 Feb
vs Orleans
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Caen – last 6
WDDLDL
10 Apr
@ Gobelins
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Stade Briochin
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Rouen
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sochaux
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bourg-en-bresse 01 and Caen.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caen 45%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0