Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Orleans to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrleans to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceOrleans or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Aubagne vs Orleans preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Aubagne take on Orleans on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Aubagne are 17th with 7 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Orleans sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aubagne's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Le Puy Foot 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Orleans's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Concarneau 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Orleans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.9 for Aubagne and 1.7 for Orleans. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aubagne 20%, draw 22%, Orleans 58%.
Safer route: Orleans or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Orleans to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orleans or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Aubagne 0–1 Orleans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aubagne20%fair 4.91 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Orleans58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
2.53Expected goals
0.86Aubagne xG
1.67Orleans xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Aubagne 0.9 – 1.7 Orleans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orleans to win✓
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Orleans or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orleans / FT Orleans✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
Aubagne – last 6
WDDLLL
10 Apr
@ Le Puy Foot
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Chateauroux
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orleans – last 6
DDWWWD
10 Apr
vs Concarneau
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Villefranche
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Gobelins
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
3–1
W
20 Feb
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Orleans.
Our pick is Orleans or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aubagne vs Orleans?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orleans 58%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Orleans?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Orleans?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 0–1 Orleans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Orleans?
Aubagne vs Orleans (National 1) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon0
Sochaux0
Chateauroux0