Value bet: Versailles to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValenciennes to win ✓44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 8.85
Valenciennes vs Versailles preview and prediction
The match
Versailles travel to Stade du Hainaut in the National 1 on Friday 10 April (18:30 WAT) to face Valenciennes. Valenciennes are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Versailles sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valenciennes's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Quevilly 2–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Versailles's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Sochaux 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Versailles arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Valenciennes and 1.1 for Versailles. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Versailles to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Valenciennes 1–1 Versailles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenciennes44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Versailles34%fair 2.97 · @3.25
2.48Expected goals
1.35Valenciennes xG
1.13Versailles xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.3 – 1.1 Versailles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✓
44%
2.27
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
8.85
–
Form
Valenciennes – last 6
LDWWDL
3 Apr
@ Quevilly
2–3
L
27 Mar
vs Aubagne
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Concarneau
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Villefranche
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Versailles – last 6
WLDWDW
3 Apr
vs Sochaux
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Dijon
1–3
L
20 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Quevilly
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Aubagne
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Versailles.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Versailles?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Versailles?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Versailles 34%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Versailles?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Versailles?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Versailles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Versailles?
Valenciennes vs Versailles (National 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux3
Dijon2
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0