Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✗59% · @1.73
Double chanceLe Puy Foot or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.18
Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne preview and prediction
The match
Aubagne travel to Stade Charles Massot in the National 1 on Friday 10 April (18:30 WAT) to face Le Puy Foot. Le Puy Foot are 8th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Aubagne sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Le Puy Foot's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Concarneau 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aubagne's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Chateauroux 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Le Puy Foot arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Le Puy Foot and 0.8 for Aubagne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Puy Foot 59%, draw 25%, Aubagne 16%.
Safer route: Le Puy Foot or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Le Puy Foot to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Le Puy Foot 1–0 Aubagne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Puy Foot59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Aubagne16%fair 6.21 · @4.20
2.52Expected goals
1.73Le Puy Foot xG
0.79Aubagne xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Le Puy Foot 1.7 – 0.8 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Puy Foot to win✗
59%
1.69
1.73
Double chance
Le Puy Foot or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Puy Foot / FT Le Puy Foot✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.18
–
Form
Le Puy Foot – last 6
WWWWDD
3 Apr
@ Concarneau
3–0
W
20 Mar
@ Villefranche
3–2
W
13 Mar
vs Caen
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Gobelins
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Rouen
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 6
DDLLLL
3 Apr
vs Chateauroux
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Sochaux
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Dijon
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Puy Foot and Aubagne.
What is the prediction for Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?
Our pick is Le Puy Foot to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Le Puy Foot have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aubagne 16%.
How many goals will there be in Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Le Puy Foot 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?
Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charles Massot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux3
Dijon2
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0