Value bet: Quevilly to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChateauroux to win ✗47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Chateauroux vs Quevilly preview and prediction
The match
Chateauroux host Quevilly in the National 1 on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Form guide
Chateauroux's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Aubagne 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Quevilly's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Valenciennes 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Chateauroux and 1.0 for Quevilly. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Quevilly to win at 3.60 – 31% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Chateauroux 1–1 Quevilly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chateauroux47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Quevilly31%fair 3.26 · @3.60
2.38Expected goals
1.36Chateauroux xG
1.02Quevilly xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 1.4 – 1.0 Quevilly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chateauroux to win✗
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chateauroux / FT Chateauroux✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Chateauroux – last 6
DWLLDL
3 Apr
@ Aubagne
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Concarneau
3–1
W
17 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
0–2
L
13 Mar
vs Villefranche
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Caen
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Gobelins
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Quevilly – last 6
WLLLDW
3 Apr
vs Valenciennes
3–2
W
27 Mar
@ Sochaux
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Dijon
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Fleury 91
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Versailles
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Quevilly.
What is the prediction for Chateauroux vs Quevilly?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Quevilly?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Quevilly 31%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Quevilly?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Quevilly?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 1–1 Quevilly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Quevilly?
Chateauroux vs Quevilly (National 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dijon2
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0