Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Gobelins to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaen to win ✓39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Gobelins vs Caen preview and prediction
The match
Gobelins host Caen in the National 1 on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stade Pele. Gobelins are 9th with 16 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Caen sit 3rd on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gobelins's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Caen's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with Stade Briochin 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Gobelins arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Gobelins and 1.2 for Caen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gobelins 32%, draw 29%, Caen 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Gobelins to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Gobelins 1–1 Caen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gobelins32%fair 3.10 · @3.35
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.55
Caen39%fair 2.55 · @2.45
2.20Expected goals
1.03Gobelins xG
1.17Caen xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gobelins 1.0 – 1.2 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caen to win✓
39%
2.55
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caen / FT Caen✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Gobelins – last 6
LWDLLW
3 Apr
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Stade Briochin
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Rouen
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Orleans
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Chateauroux
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Caen – last 6
DDLDLD
3 Apr
vs Stade Briochin
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Rouen
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Chateauroux
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Sochaux
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dijon
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gobelins and Caen.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Gobelins vs Caen?
On our numbers Gobelins have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Caen 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Caen?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Gobelins 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gobelins vs Caen?
Gobelins vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pele.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux3
Dijon2
Sochaux2
Stade Briochin0