Value bet: Virtus Entella to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMantova to win ✓48% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Mantova vs Virtus Entella preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Mantova take on Virtus Entella on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Danilo Martelli. Mantova are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Virtus Entella sit 16th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mantova's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Cesena 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Virtus Entella's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Pescara 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mantova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Mantova and 1.1 for Virtus Entella. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Virtus Entella to win at 3.80 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mantova 1–1 Virtus Entella. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mantova48%fair 2.07 · @1.97
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Virtus Entella30%fair 3.35 · @3.80
2.53Expected goals
1.46Mantova xG
1.07Virtus Entella xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.5 – 1.1 Virtus Entella expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✓
48%
2.07
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Form
Mantova – last 5
WWLDW
17 Mar
vs Cesena
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Palermo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Sampdoria
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Virtus Entella – last 5
LLWLL
18 Mar
@ Pescara
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Avellino
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs Modena
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Monza
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Catanzaro
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Virtus Entella.
What is the prediction for Mantova vs Virtus Entella?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mantova vs Virtus Entella?
On our numbers Mantova have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Virtus Entella 30%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Virtus Entella?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Virtus Entella?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Virtus Entella, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Virtus Entella?
Mantova vs Virtus Entella (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Reggiana1
Pescara3
Venezia3
Monza1
Bari3
Spezia1