Value bet: Empoli to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampdoria to win ✓43% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Sampdoria vs Empoli preview and prediction
The match
Empoli travel to Stadio Luigi Ferraris in the Serie B on Monday 6 April (16:15 WAT) to face Sampdoria. Sampdoria are 15th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Empoli sit 19th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sampdoria's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Avellino 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Empoli's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Pescara 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Sampdoria and 1.1 for Empoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sampdoria 43%, draw 22%, Empoli 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Empoli to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sampdoria 1–1 Empoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampdoria43%fair 2.30 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.15
Empoli34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
2.48Expected goals
1.34Sampdoria xG
1.14Empoli xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.3 – 1.1 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampdoria to win✓
43%
2.30
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampdoria / FT Sampdoria✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Sampdoria – last 6
WLLDLL
22 Mar
vs Avellino
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Carrarese
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Frosinone
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Bari
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Mantova
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
WDLLDD
22 Mar
vs Pescara
4–2
W
17 Mar
@ Spezia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Bari
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampdoria and Empoli.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Empoli?
On our numbers Sampdoria have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Empoli 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sampdoria vs Empoli?
Sampdoria vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Reggiana1
Pescara3
Venezia3
Monza1
Bari3
Spezia1