Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCesena to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Cesena vs Sudtirol preview and prediction
The match
Sudtirol travel to Stadio Dino Manuzzi in the Serie B on Monday 6 April (11:30 WAT) to face Cesena. Cesena are 11th with 15 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Sudtirol sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Cesena's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Mantova 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Sudtirol's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Frosinone 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sudtirol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Cesena and 1.1 for Sudtirol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cesena 45%, draw 22%, Sudtirol 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Sudtirol to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cesena45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Sudtirol33%fair 3.06 · @3.25
2.46Expected goals
1.36Cesena xG
1.10Sudtirol xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.4 – 1.1 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cesena to win✗
45%
2.21
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cesena / FT Cesena✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Cesena – last 3
LLL
17 Mar
@ Mantova
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Monza
1–3
L
21 Feb
vs Spezia
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
LLDWLW
22 Mar
vs Frosinone
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Avellino
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Pescara
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Reggiana
4–0
W
21 Feb
@ Palermo
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Bari
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cesena vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Cesena have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sudtirol 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Sudtirol?
Cesena vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Reggiana1
Pescara3
Venezia3
Monza1
Bari3
Spezia1