Value bet: Spezia to win @ 3.85 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarrarese to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Carrarese vs Spezia preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Carrarese take on Spezia on Monday 6 April, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Form guide
Carrarese's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Bari 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spezia's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Empoli 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Carrarese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Carrarese and 1.1 for Spezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carrarese 47%, draw 22%, Spezia 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Spezia to win at 3.85 – 31% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Carrarese 1–1 Spezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carrarese47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.20
Spezia31%fair 3.24 · @3.85
2.53Expected goals
1.44Carrarese xG
1.10Spezia xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Carrarese 1.4 – 1.1 Spezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carrarese to win✓
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carrarese / FT Carrarese✓
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Carrarese – last 5
WWLDD
22 Mar
@ Bari
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Palermo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Catanzaro
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Mantova
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Spezia – last 5
DLDWL
17 Mar
vs Empoli
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Modena
0–3
L
3 Mar
@ Padova
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Cesena
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Frosinone
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Carrarese and Spezia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Carrarese vs Spezia?
On our numbers Carrarese have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spezia 31%.
How many goals will there be in Carrarese vs Spezia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carrarese vs Spezia?
Our predicted score is Carrarese 1–1 Spezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Carrarese vs Spezia?
Carrarese vs Spezia (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio dei Marmi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Reggiana1
Pescara3
Venezia3
Monza1
Bari3