Worksop Town vs Buxton Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 6 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultBuxton to win ✓45% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.12

Worksop Town vs Buxton preview and prediction

The match

Worksop Town host Buxton in the National League North on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Sandy Lane Stadium. Worksop Town are 14th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Buxton sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Worksop Town's last 4: DWLL Most recently they drew with Alfreton Town 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Buxton's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Macclesfield 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Worksop Town and 1.6 for Buxton. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Win chances: Worksop Town 35%, draw 21%, Buxton 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Buxton to win at 2.40 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Worksop Town 1–1 Buxton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Worksop Town35%fair 2.89 · @2.55

Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40

Buxton45%fair 2.24 · @2.40

2.99Expected goals

1.38Worksop Town xG

1.61Buxton xG

64%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–18%

1–07%

0–27%

From our goals model: Worksop Town 1.4 – 1.6 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Buxton to win ✓	45%	2.24	2.40 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	1.45
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.52	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Buxton / FT Buxton ✓	26%	3.89	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✓	9%	11.12	–

Form

Worksop Town – last 4

DWLL

3 Apr	@ Alfreton Town	1–1	D
10 Mar	@ Bedford Town	2–0	W
24 Feb	@ South Shields	1–3	L
21 Feb	@ Curzon Ashton	1–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

75%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Buxton – last 6

LWWLLD

3 Apr	vs Macclesfield	2–4	L
17 Mar	@ Leamington	1–0	W
10 Mar	@ Darlington 1883	2–0	W
24 Feb	vs King's Lynn Town	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs AFC Fylde	0–3	L
17 Feb	@ Southport	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Worksop Town vs Buxton?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Worksop Town vs Buxton?

On our numbers Worksop Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Buxton 45%.

How many goals will there be in Worksop Town vs Buxton?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Worksop Town vs Buxton?

Our predicted score is Worksop Town 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Worksop Town vs Buxton?

Worksop Town vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Sandy Lane Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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