Curzon Ashton vs Southport Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 6 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSouthport to win ✓59% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Curzon Ashton vs Southport preview and prediction

The match

Curzon Ashton host Southport in the National League North on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Tameside Stadium.

Form guide

Curzon Ashton's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Radcliffe 3–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Southport's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Marine 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Southport arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.1 for Curzon Ashton and 1.9 for Southport. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Curzon Ashton 24%, draw 17%, Southport 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Southport to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Curzon Ashton 1–1 Southport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Curzon Ashton24%fair 4.13 · @3.25

Draw17%fair 5.80 · @3.50

Southport59%fair 1.71 · @1.95

3.02Expected goals

1.11Curzon Ashton xG

1.91Southport xG

63%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%

1–210%

0–19%

0–29%

1–36%

2–16%

From our goals model: Curzon Ashton 1.1 – 1.9 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Southport to win ✓	59%	1.71	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	83%	1.21	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.60	1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.27	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	65%	1.54	1.42
Half-time result	Southport ahead at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Southport / FT Southport ✓	35%	2.85	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.12	–

Form

Curzon Ashton – last 5

DLDLW

3 Apr	@ Radcliffe	3–3	D
17 Mar	@ Spennymoor Town	1–4	L
10 Mar	vs Oxford City	2–2	D
24 Feb	vs Darlington 1883	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs Worksop Town	3–1	W

2.0Scored / game

2.4Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Southport – last 6

WWWWDD

3 Apr	vs Marine	2–1	W
17 Mar	vs Alfreton Town	2–1	W
10 Mar	vs Spennymoor Town	2–0	W
24 Feb	@ Radcliffe	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Kidderminster Harriers	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs Buxton	0–0	D

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

On our numbers Curzon Ashton have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Southport 59%.

How many goals will there be in Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

Our predicted score is Curzon Ashton 1–1 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Curzon Ashton vs Southport?

Curzon Ashton vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tameside Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Curzon Ashton