Marine host Chorley in the National League North on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Rossett Park. Marine are 16th with 19 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Chorley sit 13th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Marine's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Southport 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chorley's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat AFC Fylde 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chorley arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Marine and 1.4 for Chorley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marine 38%, draw 24%, Chorley 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Marine 1–1 Chorley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marine38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Chorley38%fair 2.61 · @2.38
2.74Expected goals
1.36Marine xG
1.38Chorley xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Marine 1.4 – 1.4 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chorley to win✗
38%
2.61
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chorley / FT Chorley✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.98
–
Form
Marine – last 6
LLDLLW
3 Apr
@ Southport
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ AFC Fylde
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ Peterborough Sports
0–0
D
10 Mar
vs Macclesfield
2–4
L
24 Feb
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–4
L
21 Feb
@ Oxford City
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chorley – last 6
WLWDLL
3 Apr
vs AFC Fylde
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Alfreton Town
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Kidderminster Harriers
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs South Shields
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Spennymoor Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Bedford Town
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marine and Chorley.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Marine vs Chorley?
On our numbers Marine have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chorley 38%.
How many goals will there be in Marine vs Chorley?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marine vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is Marine 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Marine vs Chorley?
Marine vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Fylde4
Kidderminster Harriers2
Curzon Ashton1
Leamington1
Alfreton Town2
Peterborough Sports0