Leamington vs Alfreton Town preview and prediction
The match
Alfreton Town travel to Your Co-op Community Stadium in the National League North on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT) to face Leamington.
Form guide
Leamington's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Bedford Town 1–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Alfreton Town's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Worksop Town 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Alfreton Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Leamington and 1.4 for Alfreton Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leamington 35%, draw 23%, Alfreton Town 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Leamington 1–1 Alfreton Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leamington35%fair 2.88 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.35
Alfreton Town42%fair 2.36 · @2.40
2.66Expected goals
1.25Leamington xG
1.41Alfreton Town xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Leamington 1.2 – 1.4 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alfreton Town to win✓
42%
2.36
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.48
–
Form
Leamington – last 6
LLLLWL
3 Apr
@ Bedford Town
1–3
L
24 Mar
vs King's Lynn Town
2–5
L
17 Mar
vs Buxton
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Hereford
1–5
L
3 Mar
@ AFC Telford United
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Merthyr Town
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Alfreton Town – last 6
DWLWLD
3 Apr
vs Worksop Town
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Chorley
1–0
W
24 Mar
vs Macclesfield
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Hereford
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Southport
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Radcliffe
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leamington and Alfreton Town.
What is the prediction for Leamington vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Leamington vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Leamington have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alfreton Town 42%.
How many goals will there be in Leamington vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leamington vs Alfreton Town?
Our predicted score is Leamington 1–1 Alfreton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leamington vs Alfreton Town?
Leamington vs Alfreton Town (National League North) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Your Co-op Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Fylde4
Radcliffe3
AFC Telford United1
Kidderminster Harriers2
Curzon Ashton1
Southport3
Hereford3
Merthyr Town0
King's Lynn Town0
Bedford Town1
Macclesfield0
Chester2
Marine2
Chorley1
Oxford City2
Peterborough Sports0