Value bet: Weston-super-Mare to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWeston-super-Mare to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceWeston-super-Mare or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Weston-super-Mare take on AFC Totton on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Optima Stadium. Weston-super-Mare are 14th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while AFC Totton sit 16th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Weston-super-Mare's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Maidstone Utd 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
AFC Totton's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Maidenhead 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AFC Totton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Weston-super-Mare and 0.8 for AFC Totton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Weston-super-Mare 64%, draw 20%, AFC Totton 17%.
Safer route: Weston-super-Mare or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Weston-super-Mare to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Weston-super-Mare 2–0 AFC Totton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Weston-super-Mare64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @3.55
AFC Totton17%fair 6.01 · @4.33
2.74Expected goals
1.91Weston-super-Mare xG
0.83AFC Totton xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Weston-super-Mare 1.9 – 0.8 AFC Totton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Weston-super-Mare to win✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Weston-super-Mare or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Weston-super-Mare ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Weston-super-Mare / FT Weston-super-Mare✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Weston-super-Mare – last 3
LDD
3 Mar
@ Maidstone Utd
1–2
L
24 Feb
@ Bath City
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Dover
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AFC Totton – last 4
LDWD
3 Mar
@ Maidenhead
0–2
L
24 Feb
vs Slough Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Weston-super-Mare and AFC Totton.
What is the prediction for Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton?
On our numbers Weston-super-Mare have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AFC Totton 17%.
How many goals will there be in Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton?
Our predicted score is Weston-super-Mare 2–0 AFC Totton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton?
Weston-super-Mare vs AFC Totton (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Optima Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.