Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Tonbridge Angels to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTonbridge Angels to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Dover vs Tonbridge Angels preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Dover take on Tonbridge Angels on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Crabble Athletic Ground. Dover are 13th with 22 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Tonbridge Angels sit 10th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Dover and 1.5 for Tonbridge Angels. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Tonbridge Angels to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dover 1–1 Tonbridge Angels. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dover37%fair 2.68 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.50
Tonbridge Angels40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
2.92Expected goals
1.43Dover xG
1.49Tonbridge Angels xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Dover 1.4 – 1.5 Tonbridge Angels expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tonbridge Angels to win✗
40%
2.48
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tonbridge Angels / FT Tonbridge Angels✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Dover – last 2
WD
24 Feb
vs AFC Hornchurch
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Weston-super-Mare
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tonbridge Angels – last 2
WW
24 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Chippenham Town
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dover and Tonbridge Angels.
What is the prediction for Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?
On our numbers Dover have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tonbridge Angels 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?
Our predicted score is Dover 1–1 Tonbridge Angels, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Dover vs Tonbridge Angels?
Dover vs Tonbridge Angels (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Crabble Athletic Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bath City0
Eastbourne Borough1
Chippenham Town2
AFC Hornchurch2