Value bet: Farnborough to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBath City to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.49
Bath City vs Farnborough preview and prediction
The match
Bath City host Farnborough in the National League South on Tuesday 10 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Twerton Park.
Form guide
Bath City's last 4: DDLD Most recently they drew with Slough Town 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Farnborough's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Torquay 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Farnborough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Bath City and 1.4 for Farnborough. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bath City 41%, draw 23%, Farnborough 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Farnborough to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bath City 1–1 Farnborough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bath City41%fair 2.42 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Farnborough36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
2.91Expected goals
1.51Bath City xG
1.40Farnborough xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Bath City 1.5 – 1.4 Farnborough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bath City to win✗
41%
2.42
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bath City / FT Bath City✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Form
Bath City – last 4
DDLD
3 Mar
vs Slough Town
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Weston-super-Mare
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Hampton & Richmond
0–4
L
17 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Farnborough – last 3
DWL
3 Mar
@ Torquay
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Chippenham Town
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Enfield Town
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bath City and Farnborough.
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Farnborough?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bath City vs Farnborough?
On our numbers Bath City have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Farnborough 36%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Farnborough?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bath City vs Farnborough?
Our predicted score is Bath City 1–1 Farnborough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bath City vs Farnborough?
Bath City vs Farnborough (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Chippenham Town2
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