Horsham host AFC Hornchurch in the National League South on Tuesday 10 March, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Form guide
Horsham's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Ebbsfleet United 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AFC Hornchurch's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Salisbury 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Horsham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Horsham and 1.4 for AFC Hornchurch. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Horsham 36%, draw 23%, AFC Hornchurch 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Horsham 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Horsham36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.30
AFC Hornchurch41%fair 2.44 · @2.45
2.75Expected goals
1.32Horsham xG
1.43AFC Hornchurch xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Horsham 1.3 – 1.4 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Hornchurch to win✓
41%
2.44
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Horsham – last 3
DWL
24 Feb
vs Ebbsfleet United
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Enfield Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
AFC Hornchurch – last 4
WLLL
3 Mar
vs Salisbury
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ Dover
1–4
L
21 Feb
@ AFC Totton
0–1
L
17 Feb
@ Dorking Wanderers
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Horsham and AFC Hornchurch.
What is the prediction for Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
On our numbers Horsham have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Hornchurch 41%.
How many goals will there be in Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Our predicted score is Horsham 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch?
Horsham vs AFC Hornchurch (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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