Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Dorking Wanderers take on Chelmsford City on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Meadowbank. Dorking Wanderers are 6th with 27 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Chelmsford City sit 8th on 25 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dorking Wanderers's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Eastbourne Borough 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Chelmsford City's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dorking Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Dorking Wanderers and 1.4 for Chelmsford City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dorking Wanderers 41%, draw 23%, Chelmsford City 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dorking Wanderers 1–1 Chelmsford City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dorking Wanderers41%fair 2.46 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Chelmsford City37%fair 2.73 · @2.55
2.84Expected goals
1.46Dorking Wanderers xG
1.37Chelmsford City xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Dorking Wanderers 1.5 – 1.4 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dorking Wanderers to win✗
41%
2.46
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dorking Wanderers / FT Dorking Wanderers✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Dorking Wanderers – last 3
WDW
24 Feb
@ Eastbourne Borough
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Maidstone Utd
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chelmsford City – last 3
WDD
23 Feb
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Salisbury
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Maidstone Utd
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dorking Wanderers and Chelmsford City.
What is the prediction for Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?
On our numbers Dorking Wanderers have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chelmsford City 37%.
How many goals will there be in Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?
Our predicted score is Dorking Wanderers 1–1 Chelmsford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City?
Dorking Wanderers vs Chelmsford City (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Meadowbank.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bath City0
Eastbourne Borough1
Chippenham Town2
AFC Hornchurch2