Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic preview and prediction
The match
Gresford Athletic travel to The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 March (20:45 WAT) to face Newtown AFC. Newtown AFC are 2nd with 30 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Gresford Athletic sit 15th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gresford Athletic's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Holyhead Hotspur 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Newtown AFC and 1.2 for Gresford Athletic. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newtown AFC 69%, draw 19%, Gresford Athletic 12%.
Safer route: Newtown AFC or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newtown AFC to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Newtown AFC 2–1 Gresford Athletic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newtown AFC69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
Gresford Athletic12%fair 8.45 · @4.80
3.95Expected goals
2.78Newtown AFC xG
1.17Gresford Athletic xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Newtown AFC 2.8 – 1.2 Gresford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newtown AFC to win✗
69%
1.44
1.44
Double chance
Newtown AFC or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Newtown AFC ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newtown AFC / FT Newtown AFC✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Form
Newtown AFC – last 2
WW
27 Feb
@ Flint Mountain
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Guilsfield
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gresford Athletic – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
vs Holyhead Hotspur
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Flint Mountain
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Llandudno
1–7
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newtown AFC and Gresford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
Our pick is Newtown AFC to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
On our numbers Newtown AFC have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gresford Athletic 12%.
How many goals will there be in Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Newtown AFC 2–1 Gresford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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