Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians preview and prediction
The match
Ammanford AFC host Cardiff Draconians in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.
Form guide
Ammanford AFC's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to Afan Lido 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Ammanford AFC and 0.9 for Cardiff Draconians. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ammanford AFC 57%, draw 20%, Cardiff Draconians 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ammanford AFC to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ammanford AFC 1–0 Cardiff Draconians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ammanford AFC57%fair 1.74 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @3.30
Cardiff Draconians23%fair 4.35 · @3.60
2.58Expected goals
1.67Ammanford AFC xG
0.91Cardiff Draconians xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 1.7 – 0.9 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ammanford AFC to win✓
57%
1.74
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ammanford AFC / FT Ammanford AFC✓
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.92
–
Form
Ammanford AFC – last 3
LWD
1 Mar
@ Afan Lido
1–3
L
24 Feb
vs Aberystwyth Town
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Trethomas Bluebirds
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff Draconians – last 2
LL
4 Mar
@ Trefelin
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Treowen Stars
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Cardiff Draconians.
What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
Our pick is Ammanford AFC to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cardiff Draconians 23%.
How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 1–0 Cardiff Draconians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians?
Ammanford AFC vs Cardiff Draconians (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cwmbran Celtic1
Denbigh Town0
Brickfield Rangers1
Llandudno2
Holywell1
Newtown AFC0
Gresford Athletic5