Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 6 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultCarmarthen Town to win ✓46% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town preview and prediction

The match

Carmarthen Town travel to CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 March (20:45 WAT) to face Trethomas Bluebirds. Trethomas Bluebirds are 8th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Carmarthen Town sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Trethomas Bluebirds's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Cambrian & Clydach 2–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Carmarthen Town's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Newport City 4–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.

Carmarthen Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.5 for Carmarthen Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Trethomas Bluebirds 32%, draw 22%, Carmarthen Town 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Trethomas Bluebirds 1–1 Carmarthen Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Trethomas Bluebirds32%fair 3.14 · @2.80

Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10

Carmarthen Town46%fair 2.16 · @2.20

2.77Expected goals

1.23Trethomas Bluebirds xG

1.54Carmarthen Town xG

61%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%

0–110%

1–29%

1–08%

0–27%

2–17%

From our goals model: Trethomas Bluebirds 1.2 – 1.5 Carmarthen Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Carmarthen Town to win ✓	46%	2.16	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.65	1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.91	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Carmarthen Town / FT Carmarthen Town ✓	27%	3.76	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	10%	10.34	–

Form

Trethomas Bluebirds – last 3

LLD

1 Mar	@ Cambrian & Clydach	2–4	L
20 Feb	@ Afan Lido	0–1	L
13 Feb	@ Ammanford AFC	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Carmarthen Town – last 3

DWL

1 Mar	@ Newport City	4–4	D
21 Feb	@ Caerau (Ely)	4–3	W
13 Feb	vs Trefelin	0–2	L

2.7Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontypridd Town	13	8	3	2	+13	27
2	Aberystwyth Town	11	8	1	2	+18	25
3	Swansea University	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Caerau (Ely)	13	7	1	5	+1	22
5	Baglan Dragons	13	6	2	5	0	20
6	Ynyshir Albions	11	5	4	2	+7	19
7	Afan Lido	14	5	3	6	-2	18
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	13	4	5	4	+3	17
9	Treowen Stars	12	5	2	5	-1	17
10	Carmarthen Town	13	4	3	6	-6	15
11	Pontardawe Town	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Caerphilly Athletic	13	4	2	7	-7	14
13	Newport City	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Cardiff Draconians	11	3	3	5	-5	12
15	Llantwit Major	12	3	3	6	-12	12
16	llanelli AFC	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Team

Pts

+13

+18

+19

-2

-1

-6

-1

-7

-5

-12

-31

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

On our numbers Trethomas Bluebirds have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Carmarthen Town 46%.

How many goals will there be in Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

Our predicted score is Trethomas Bluebirds 1–1 Carmarthen Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town?

Trethomas Bluebirds vs Carmarthen Town (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at CCB Centre for Sporting Excellence.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes