Value bet: Llantwit Major to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPontypridd Town to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major preview and prediction
The match
Llantwit Major travel to USW Sports Park in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 March (20:30 WAT) to face Pontypridd Town. Pontypridd Town are 1st with 27 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Llantwit Major sit 15th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Llantwit Major's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Treowen Stars 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Pontypridd Town and 1.3 for Llantwit Major. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pontypridd Town 44%, draw 21%, Llantwit Major 35%.
Value angle: Llantwit Major to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Pontypridd Town 2–1 Llantwit Major. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pontypridd Town44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Llantwit Major35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
2.77Expected goals
1.48Pontypridd Town xG
1.29Llantwit Major xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Pontypridd Town 1.5 – 1.3 Llantwit Major expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pontypridd Town to win✗
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pontypridd Town / FT Pontypridd Town✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
Pontypridd Town – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Baglan Dragons
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Llantwit Major – last 3
WWL
3 Mar
vs Treowen Stars
3–2
W
24 Feb
@ Ynyshir Albions
3–2
W
20 Feb
@ Newport City
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pontypridd Town and Llantwit Major.
What is the prediction for Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
On our numbers Pontypridd Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Llantwit Major 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
Our predicted score is Pontypridd Town 2–1 Llantwit Major, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major?
Pontypridd Town vs Llantwit Major (FAW Championship) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at USW Sports Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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