Value bet: Lyon to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLyon to win ✗39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Strasbourg vs Lyon preview and prediction
The match
Strasbourg host Lyon in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stade de la Meinau. Strasbourg are 13th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Lyon sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Strasbourg and 1.4 for Lyon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Strasbourg 38%, draw 23%, Lyon 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Lyon to win at 2.98 – 39% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Strasbourg 1–1 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Strasbourg38%fair 2.61 · @2.24
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Lyon39%fair 2.58 · @2.98
2.77Expected goals
1.38Strasbourg xG
1.39Lyon xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Strasbourg 1.4 – 1.4 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
39%
2.58
2.98 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Strasbourg
No recent results on record.
Lyon – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Nice
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strasbourg and Lyon.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Lyon?
On our numbers Strasbourg have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lyon 39%.
How many goals will there be in Strasbourg vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Strasbourg 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Strasbourg vs Lyon?
Strasbourg vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Meinau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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