Value bet: Lille to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLille to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.85
Angers vs Lille preview and prediction
The match
Lille travel to Stade Raymond-Kopa in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 22 February (17:15 WAT) to face Angers. Angers are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Lille sit 2nd on 21 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for Angers and 1.7 for Lille. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Angers 22%, draw 21%, Lille 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Lille to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Angers 0–1 Lille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Angers22%fair 4.48 · @4.10
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.35
Lille57%fair 1.77 · @1.90
2.56Expected goals
0.91Angers xG
1.65Lille xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–211%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: Angers 0.9 – 1.7 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✓
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✓
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.85
–
Form
Angers – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Lorient
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lille – last 1
L
19 Feb
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Angers and Lille.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Angers vs Lille?
On our numbers Angers have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lille 57%.
How many goals will there be in Angers vs Lille?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angers vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Angers 0–1 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Angers vs Lille?
Angers vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Raymond-Kopa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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