Value bet: Lorient to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNice to win ✗44% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Nice vs Lorient preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Nice take on Lorient on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Allianz Riviera. Nice are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Lorient sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Nice and 1.3 for Lorient. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nice 44%, draw 21%, Lorient 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Lorient to win at 3.35 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Nice 1–1 Lorient. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nice44%fair 2.29 · @2.08
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Lorient35%fair 2.83 · @3.35
2.83Expected goals
1.51Nice xG
1.32Lorient xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nice 1.5 – 1.3 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nice to win✗
44%
2.29
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nice / FT Nice✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Form
Nice – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Lyon
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lorient – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Angers
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Lorient.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nice vs Lorient?
On our numbers Nice have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lorient 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Lorient?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Lorient?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Lorient?
Nice vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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