Value bet: Le Havre to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLe Havre to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.14
Nantes vs Le Havre preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Nantes take on Le Havre on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 17:15 (WAT) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Nantes and 1.3 for Le Havre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nantes 36%, draw 24%, Le Havre 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Le Havre to win at 2.90 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nantes 1–1 Le Havre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nantes36%fair 2.80 · @2.46
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.15
Le Havre40%fair 2.51 · @2.90
2.45Expected goals
1.18Nantes xG
1.27Le Havre xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nantes 1.2 – 1.3 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Havre to win✗
40%
2.51
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Havre / FT Le Havre✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.14
–
Form
Nantes – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Monaco
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Le Havre – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Toulouse
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nantes and Le Havre.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nantes vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Nantes have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Le Havre 40%.
How many goals will there be in Nantes vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Nantes 1–1 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nantes vs Le Havre?
Nantes vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Beaujoire.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
