Value bet: Auxerre to win @ 2.98 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRennes to win ✓38% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Auxerre vs Rennes preview and prediction
The match
Auxerre host Rennes in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. Auxerre are 14th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Rennes sit 8th on 16 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Auxerre and 1.3 for Rennes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Auxerre 38%, draw 24%, Rennes 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Auxerre to win at 2.98 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Auxerre 1–1 Rennes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Auxerre38%fair 2.66 · @2.98
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Rennes38%fair 2.60 · @2.32
2.67Expected goals
1.33Auxerre xG
1.35Rennes xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.3 – 1.3 Rennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rennes to win✓
38%
2.60
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rennes / FT Rennes✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Auxerre – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rennes – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Rennes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Auxerre vs Rennes?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rennes 38%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Rennes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Rennes?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–1 Rennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Rennes?
Auxerre vs Rennes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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