Value bet: West Brom to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWest Brom to win ✓59% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.21
West Brom vs Watford preview and prediction
The match
Watford travel to The Hawthorns in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April (19:45 WAT) to face West Brom. West Brom are 5th with 28 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Watford sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
West Brom's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Millwall 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Watford's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to QPR 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Watford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for West Brom and 0.8 for Watford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: West Brom 59%, draw 19%, Watford 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: West Brom to win at 1.81 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: West Brom 1–0 Watford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
West Brom59%fair 1.68 · @1.81
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.55
Watford21%fair 4.69 · @4.30
2.47Expected goals
1.65West Brom xG
0.83Watford xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–111%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.6 – 0.8 Watford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Brom to win✓
59%
1.68
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Brom / FT West Brom✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.21
–
Form
West Brom – last 6
DDDDDL
10 Apr
vs Millwall
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Blackburn
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Wrexham
2–2
D
11 Mar
vs Southampton
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Charlton
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Coventry
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Watford – last 6
LWDWLW
3 Apr
@ QPR
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Wrexham
3–1
W
10 Mar
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Bristol City
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Ipswich
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Derby
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between West Brom and Watford.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win West Brom vs Watford?
On our numbers West Brom have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Watford 21%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Watford?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Watford?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–0 Watford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Watford?
West Brom vs Watford (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oxford United0
Coventry5
Leicester2
Hull City2