The Championship sees QPR take on Swansea on Tuesday 21 April, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Loftus Road. QPR are 8th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Swansea sit 6th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
QPR's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Preston 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Swansea's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Middlesbrough 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for QPR and 1.2 for Swansea. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: QPR 44%, draw 22%, Swansea 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: QPR 1–1 Swansea. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
QPR44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Swansea34%fair 2.95 · @3.05
2.65Expected goals
1.44QPR xG
1.21Swansea xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: QPR 1.4 – 1.2 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✗
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.86
–
Form
QPR – last 6
DWLLLW
6 Apr
@ Preston
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Watford
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Birmingham
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Middlesbrough
0–4
L
24 Feb
@ Southampton
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Hull City
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Swansea – last 6
DDLWDW
6 Apr
vs Middlesbrough
2–2
D
3 Apr
@ Sheffield Utd
3–3
D
13 Mar
@ Wrexham
0–2
L
10 Mar
@ Portsmouth
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Preston
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Swansea.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win QPR vs Swansea?
On our numbers QPR have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Swansea 34%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Swansea?
QPR vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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