Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Portsmouth to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chancePortsmouth or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Portsmouth vs Oxford United preview and prediction
The match
Portsmouth host Oxford United in the Championship on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Fratton Park.
Form guide
Portsmouth's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Norwich 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Oxford United's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Hull City 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Oxford United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Portsmouth and 0.7 for Oxford United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portsmouth 60%, draw 25%, Oxford United 14%.
Safer route: Portsmouth or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Portsmouth to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portsmouth or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–0 Oxford United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portsmouth60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.35
Oxford United14%fair 7.02 · @4.10
2.35Expected goals
1.66Portsmouth xG
0.68Oxford United xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.7 – 0.7 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Portsmouth or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Form
Portsmouth – last 6
DLLDLL
3 Apr
@ Norwich
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Derby
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Swansea
1–2
L
7 Mar
@ Blackburn
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Hull City
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Wrexham
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Oxford United – last 6
DWWLDL
3 Apr
vs Hull City
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Blackburn
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Preston
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ Stoke City
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Middlesbrough
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Sunderland
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Oxford United.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Oxford United?
Our pick is Portsmouth or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Oxford United?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Oxford United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Oxford United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Oxford United?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–0 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Oxford United?
Portsmouth vs Oxford United (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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