Value bet: Norwich to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMillwall to win ✗43% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Millwall vs Norwich preview and prediction
The match
Norwich travel to The Den in the Championship on Monday 6 April (13:00 WAT) to face Millwall. Millwall are 16th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Norwich sit 12th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Millwall's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Middlesbrough 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Norwich's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Portsmouth 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Millwall arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Millwall and 1.2 for Norwich. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Millwall 43%, draw 23%, Norwich 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Norwich to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Millwall 1–1 Norwich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Millwall43%fair 2.35 · @2.18
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
Norwich35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.62Expected goals
1.39Millwall xG
1.22Norwich xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Millwall 1.4 – 1.2 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✗
43%
2.35
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Millwall – last 5
WWWWL
3 Apr
@ Middlesbrough
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs Derby
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Hull City
3–1
W
25 Feb
vs Birmingham
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Norwich – last 6
DLWLWW
3 Apr
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Southampton
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Sheffield Utd
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Leeds
0–3
L
28 Feb
@ Leicester
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millwall and Norwich.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Millwall vs Norwich?
On our numbers Millwall have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Norwich 35%.
How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Norwich?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Millwall vs Norwich?
Millwall vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at The Den.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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