Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Ipswich vs Birmingham preview and prediction
The match
Ipswich host Birmingham in the Championship on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Portman Road.
Form guide
Ipswich's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Stoke City 3–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Birmingham's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Blackburn 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Ipswich and 0.7 for Birmingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Ipswich to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.63, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ipswich 1–0 Birmingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ipswich68%fair 1.46 · @1.63
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.80
Birmingham11%fair 8.99 · @5.25
2.66Expected goals
1.99Ipswich xG
0.67Birmingham xG
49%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ipswich 2.0 – 0.7 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ipswich to win✓
68%
1.46
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Ipswich or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Ipswich ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ipswich / FT Ipswich✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Ipswich – last 5
DWWLL
10 Mar
@ Stoke City
3–3
D
3 Mar
vs Hull City
1–0
W
24 Feb
@ Watford
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Wrexham
3–5
L
13 Feb
@ Wrexham
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 5
LWLLW
3 Apr
vs Blackburn
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs QPR
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Middlesbrough
1–3
L
25 Feb
@ Millwall
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Norwich
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ipswich and Birmingham.
Our pick is Ipswich to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Ipswich vs Birmingham?
On our numbers Ipswich have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Birmingham 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is Ipswich 1–0 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ipswich vs Birmingham?
Ipswich vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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